My Forecast Is Better Than Yours – Day Two
October 20th, 2009 • Related • Filed Under
We have a contest tonight!
Wednesday October 21, 2009
WAKA, Chris Bailey
Low – 44
High – 78
Rain -No
WSFA, Allyson Rae
Low – 45
High – 78
Rain – No
Results from day one will be available tomorrow but won’t count due to Chris having the night off.
This is all for fun…the only thing at stake is a sheet of paper! It’s entertainment for myself and hopefully you!
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Finally! After almost a year and a half since Montgomery locals were turned up on Direct. Picture quality is great. ...
Hey Brian…., So the results don’t count for Monday due to Chris being off, But Rich is off, so why not wait til he returns.Doesn’t sound real fair, does it?
Roll With THAT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Hey Johnny…please read the entire posts before commenting.
On the original post I explained that the ad said Chris Bailey was more accurate than that other station. It did not mention a specific meteorologist from WSFA. So the test is to see if Chris Bailey is more accurate than WSFA as a whole.
Oh how I wish I had kept the data I collected last winter ! I live well south of Montgomery, but in a low area. Because of the number of plants I had to haul in and out at night last winter, I was continually interested in the low temperature forecast. I did not keep track of high’s or rainfall. Over about six weeks of keeping records of WSFA and WAKA forecast lows which were made morning, noon and evening (not 10:00 PM) for that night and for the next six nights, I found that WAKA was far more accurate in the prediction of low temps at my house when I used their forecast for Montgomery. This contest will see how close they are to the airport recordings. It shall be interesting, but for next winter, I’ll continue to trust WAKA for the night-time temps at my house.
You did it for a lot longer than I am willing to do it! Of course mine is for entertainment purposes and you had serious financial reasons resting on the accuracy of one over the other. It will be interesting to see how this pans out and if it comes to the same results for this week.
gee whiz, it’s all in fun. i think this was a great idea.
I don’t know how far “well south of Montgomer” you are, but it seems that relying on a forecast that may NOT have been intended for your low lying area says nothing about the accuracy of the forecast. Be that as it may, I’m glad you found some way to determine when to haul in your plants.
THE RESULTS:
Tuesday October 21
Low – 44
High – 76
Rain – No
Chris won a point for nailing the low temperature. Each get a point for being two degrees off the high. Both get a point for predicting no rain yesterday.
Current standings: Chris Bailey 3, WSFA 2
you need to recheck your stats. the low was 45.
00
CDUS44 KBMX 220957
CLIMGM
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL
457 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2009
……………………………..
…THE MONTGOMERY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 21 2009…
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1971 TO 2000
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1873 TO 2009
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
…………………………………………………………
TEMPERATURE (F)
YESTERDAY
MAXIMUM 77 139 PM 88 1963 77 0 75
MINIMUM 45 615 AM 30 1989 50 -5 43
AVERAGE 61 63 -2 59
you looked up the results for anniston, not montgomery.
you looked up the results for anniston, not montgomery. if you are going to do this contest atleast verify it correctly.
I’m about 65 miles south-southwest and I am interested in what is predicted temps for the Montgomery Airport since my experience says that those temps are likely to be very close to what I will see. I think this is a great, fun contest.
You are correct! When I pulled it up I didn’t change the city from Anniston to Montgomery.
THE RESULTS:
Tuesday October 21
Low – 45
High – 77
Rain – No
Allyson won a point for nailing the low temperature. Each get a point for being one degree off the high. Both get a point for predicting no rain yesterday.
Current standings: WSFA 3, Chris Bailey 2
Thank you for catching my mistake…I have never claimed to be perfect.